The
author of the article below, Vladimir Dorta, was a Colonel (R) of the
Venezuelan Air Force, and for thirty years or more US citizen. Israel's place in this region is fraught with danger, this is why it cannot afford to give up territory at this time to a "peace" partner who is not prepared to prepare his people for peace.
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Iran? Shiite militias? After months of focusing on our new
and exclusive enemy ISIS, the Western leadership and media are shocked, yes “shocked”!
to discover that the conflict in Iraq and Syria has allowed an Iranian advance
almost to the borders of Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Israel.
The front lines of the Muslim religious and civil war have
dramatically changed, but our surprise is entirely self inflicted.
Robert W. Merry, a “longtime Washington political reporter
and publishing executive” writes:
Back in October 2006, the National Security Editor at
Congressional Quarterly, Jeff Stein, took to asking national security officials
and members of Congress if they knew the difference between Sunni and Shiite
Muslims in the Middle East. He wasn’t looking for arcane doctrinal disquisitions,
merely if they could say who was on which side and what each wanted. He discovered
a sump of ignorance in Washington officialdom on the subject, hardly one of
only limited significance to the country at the time.
Our “expert” Merry goes on to clobber Senator Marco Rubio
for his supposed ignorance regarding the Middle East; he then talks about “the
Shiite nations of Iran, Iraq and Syria” (notwithstanding the fact that the
latter is about 60% Sunni and 13% Shia), and ends up saying that we should help
Iran against ISIS. This is what passes for knowledge of the Middle East in
America and the West, where we project our ideas on the Middle East and see
conflict there either as lack of democracy (nation building in Iraq and
Afghanistan), or dictator versus people (Saddam Hussein vs the Iraqi people, Bashar
Assad vs the Syrian people), or we only see one enemy, a “terrorist,” jihadist
or radical group (then Al-Qaeda, now ISIS).
It is funnily absurd that when religion has practically
disappeared in the West, our atheist leaders have suddenly become theologians
and purport to know what Islam is, who are real Muslims, and who have hijacked what
they call “the religion of peace.” These self-anointed Islamic experts have the
gall to define as “not Islamic” someone like Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, the Islamic
State’s Caliph, who apparently has a PhD
in Islamic Studies. Talk about hijacking, or about
Disney cartoons.
Topping off this wholesale stupidity, some of our pundits
believe they have discovered a correct definition: radical Islam, the reason being that if Obama and Kerry don’t want to
mention it, then it should be the correct name. But this discovery is nearly
worthless as a basis for strategy. What should be clear is that there is Sunni
Islamism and there is Shia Islamism, that they are fighting each other to the
death in the entire Middle East, and that both of them see the West as their enemy.
Talking about a foggy “radical Islam” and focusing on ISIS
and forgetting Iran is not only erroneous but dangerous. Besides the extreme
complexity of the Middle East, its cast of medieval culture and characters, of Islam
as a political religion that has no limiting principle, and the constantly
changing alliances and enmities, one more factor complicates the explosive mix:
our postmodern reluctance to confront reality. Therefore our desperation for a
semantic escape: “war on terror,” “contingency overseas operations,” “violent
extremism,” “radical Islam.”
The underlying reality is: the Muslim civilization is in a
state of religious and civil war that we in the West haven’t seen for almost
four hundred years, a war similar to the Thirty Years’ War, between two
religious sects and two groups of countries led by Saudi Arabia and Iran. The
only difference is, the main forces on both sides are waging war against the
West in a way that will increasingly include Muslims who live in the West.
If we don’t recognize this, we can’t understand why
Muslims are killing each other from Egypt to Pakistan, or the rise of Iran
together with its Hezbollah and Hamas terrorist proxies, or Iran’s quest for
domination of Lebanon, Iraq, and Syria, or Saudi Arabia’s historical support of
the most extreme forms of Sunni Islam such as Al-Qaeda and ISIS, or the
confluence of thousands of young American and European Sunni Muslims in Syria
to fight for ISIS or, especially, the reluctance of the Sunni monarchies and
Turkey to confront ISIS because in doing so they would be helping Iran, their
main Shia enemy, when it already has its eyes on Jordan!
At this very moment, the battle for the territorial
division of the artificial states of Iraq and Syria is entering its final
phases:
In Iraq, on one side is the Sunni Islamic State (ISIS) and on the other are the Iraqi Shia army, the Iraqi Shia militia, and
the Iranian Shia military contingent, all led by the Iranian hero General Qasem Soleimani.
In Syria, hundreds of thousands of fanatical Iranian Shia Revolutionary Guards and Shia-Alawite fighters
led by Bashar Al-Assad face equally fanatical Sunnis of the Islamic State. If Iran wins the battle for Iraq and Syria,
it will not only have a common border with Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Israel,
it will also be the hegemonic power in the Middle East.
This unprecedented fact can only get much worse: Obama is making a deal with
Iran so that this new Middle-Eastern hegemon, the world’s biggest sponsor of
terrorism, will also be a nuclear power.
Obama is telling Israel and the Sunni monarchies of Saudi
Arabia, Jordan, United Arab Emirates, Bahrein, Qatar, and Kuwait: you are on
your own. ISIS is not a terrorist entity, and neither are the Iranian
Revolutionary Guards, the Iraqi Shia militias or the Yemeni Houthi Shia
militias. Or, if you prefer, they are all terrorists because in a civil war every
fighter is a terrorist. ISIS is just the most radical expression of Sunni
warmaking, and the same applies to Shia warriors on the other side. They all
see themselves as jihadis or
holy warriors.
But what if radicals are a tiny minority within Islam?
What if Islam is really a “religion of peace”? That is not the case either. The
Muslim world is in social and political disintegration. There have been more
than 25,000 Islamic attacks in the world since 9/11. Just in the month
of January 2015, there were 266 Muslim attacks in 28 countries, from
Afghanistan to Algeria, Bangladesh, Cameroon, Dagestan, France, India, Iraq,
Lebanon, Libya, Mali, Myanmar, Niger, Nigeria, Pakistan, Philippines, Somalia,
Syria, Thailand, Tunisia, and Yemen. There are now more than 18 million Muslim refugees in the Middle
East, and there could be up to 10,000 European Muslims fighting in Syria and
Iraq by the end of the year.